With year-on-year mountain rescue call-outs up by 5 per cent and fatalities soaring by 100 per cent, we delve into the stats and ask whether 2024 is set to be a record year for the service.
I think the underlying story is more people up enjoying the fells = more MR call outs. And more people enjoying the fells has to be a good thing. As a mathematical note, if the underlying average fatalities is 21 we should expect a year on year fluctuation of +/- 4 or 5 . (Expected variation is square root of expected number) So don't read much into an increase of 4 as it could well be a random effect.
Thanks Ronald. There must be a lot of truth in that. And i was interested in the quotes around heart attack's and our changing perception to how to deal with ongoing heart troubles (get out and about now vs stay at home a few years ago)... hence more fatalities in that category.
Emphasis on the fact that the heart attacks are now suffered outdoors instead of indoors, not an increase in numbers of heart attacks across the board.
I think the underlying story is more people up enjoying the fells = more MR call outs. And more people enjoying the fells has to be a good thing. As a mathematical note, if the underlying average fatalities is 21 we should expect a year on year fluctuation of +/- 4 or 5 . (Expected variation is square root of expected number) So don't read much into an increase of 4 as it could well be a random effect.
Thanks Ronald. There must be a lot of truth in that. And i was interested in the quotes around heart attack's and our changing perception to how to deal with ongoing heart troubles (get out and about now vs stay at home a few years ago)... hence more fatalities in that category.
Emphasis on the fact that the heart attacks are now suffered outdoors instead of indoors, not an increase in numbers of heart attacks across the board.